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Predicting Cardiovascular Risk Factors from Retinal Fundus Photographs Using CNN (arxiv.org)
2 points by joshgel on Jan 4, 2018 | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A program scans ordinary photos of the back of the eye and learns patterns linked to heart-disease risk, which doctors usually measure with blood tests and a pressure cuff. It guessed patients' age to within about 3 years and also picked up smoking status.

Abstract · Predicting Cardiovascular Risk Factors from Retinal Fundus Photographs using Deep Learning

Traditionally, medical discoveries are made by observing associations and then designing experiments to test these hypotheses. However, observing and quantifying associations in images can be difficult because of the wide variety of features, patterns, colors, values, shapes in real data. In this paper, we use deep learning, a machine learning technique that learns its own features, to discover new knowledge from retinal fundus images. Using models trained on data from 284,335 patients, and validated on two independent datasets of 12,026 and 999 patients, we predict cardiovascular risk factors not previously thought to be present or quantifiable in retinal images, such as such as age (within 3.26 years), gender (0.97 AUC), smoking status (0.71 AUC), HbA1c (within 1.39%), systolic blood pressure (within 11.23mmHg) as well as major adverse cardiac events (0.70 AUC). We further show that our models used distinct aspects of the anatomy to generate each prediction, such as the optic disc or blood vessels, opening avenues of further research.

Ryan Poplin, Avinash V. Varadarajan, Katy Blumer, Yun Liu, Michael V. McConnell, Greg S. Corrado, Lily Peng, Dale R. Webster
arXiv:1708.09843 · cs.CV · submitted Aug 31, 2017 · updated Sep 21, 2017
abstract · pdf

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