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Patterns, predictions, and actions: A story about machine learning (arxiv.org)
17 points by gballan on Feb 14, 2021 | hide | past | pdf | 2 comments on HN

In plain words: This graduate textbook traces how patterns in data lead to predictions and then to decisions with real consequences. It covers supervised learning, causality, and sequential decision-making with historical and societal context, needing only basic probability, calculus, and linear algebra.

Abstract

This graduate textbook on machine learning tells a story of how patterns in data support predictions and consequential actions. Starting with the foundations of decision making, we cover representation, optimization, and generalization as the constituents of supervised learning. A chapter on datasets as benchmarks examines their histories and scientific bases. Self-contained introductions to causality, the practice of causal inference, sequential decision making, and reinforcement learning equip the reader with concepts and tools to reason about actions and their consequences. Throughout, the text discusses historical context and societal impact. We invite readers from all backgrounds; some experience with probability, calculus, and linear algebra suffices.

Moritz Hardt, Benjamin Recht
arXiv:2102.05242 · cs.LG, stat.ML · submitted Feb 10, 2021 · updated Oct 26, 2021
abstract · pdf · html · Manuscript submitted to publisher for copy editing

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Also discussed: Feb 2021 (2 points, 0 comments)

This is a full textbook and not "just" a paper. The book has a website at https://mlstory.org/
This has received a good review from Judea Pearl: https://twitter.com/yudapearl/status/1360828696005799938?s=2...