In plain words: Few-shot prompting can swing from near chance to near perfect just by changing the examples or their order, because the model favors certain answers. Measuring that bias with a blank input like "N/A" and correcting for it raised accuracy by up to 30 points and steadied results across prompts.
Abstract
GPT-3 can perform numerous tasks when provided a natural language prompt that contains a few training examples. We show that this type of few-shot learning can be unstable: the choice of prompt format, training examples, and even the order of the training examples can cause accuracy to vary from near chance to near state-of-the-art. We demonstrate that this instability arises from the bias of language models towards predicting certain answers, e.g., those that are placed near the end of the prompt or are common in the pre-training data. To mitigate this, we first estimate the model's bias towards each answer by asking for its prediction when given the training prompt and a content-free test input such as "N/A". We then fit calibration parameters that cause the prediction for this input to be uniform across answers. On a diverse set of tasks, this contextual calibration procedure substantially improves GPT-3 and GPT-2's average accuracy (up to 30.0% absolute) and reduces variance across different choices of the prompt.
Tony Z. Zhao, Eric Wallace, Shi Feng, Dan Klein, Sameer Singh
arXiv:2102.09690 · cs.CL, cs.LG · submitted Feb 19, 2021 · updated Jun 10, 2021
abstract · pdf · html · ICML 2021