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Detecting the Long-Tail of Unseen Conditions (arxiv.org)
1 point by andy99 on Apr 11, 2021 | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A skin-condition classifier learns to say "I don't know" on rare diseases it never saw, using abstain labels to judge whether a case is familiar and which condition it is. It flagged unseen conditions better than the baseline and lowered the cost of mistakes.

Abstract · Does Your Dermatology Classifier Know What It Doesn't Know? Detecting the Long-Tail of Unseen Conditions

We develop and rigorously evaluate a deep learning based system that can accurately classify skin conditions while detecting rare conditions for which there is not enough data available for training a confident classifier. We frame this task as an out-of-distribution (OOD) detection problem. Our novel approach, hierarchical outlier detection (HOD) assigns multiple abstention classes for each training outlier class and jointly performs a coarse classification of inliers vs. outliers, along with fine-grained classification of the individual classes. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the HOD loss in conjunction with modern representation learning approaches (BiT, SimCLR, MICLe) and explore different ensembling strategies for further improving the results. We perform an extensive subgroup analysis over conditions of varying risk levels and different skin types to investigate how the OOD detection performance changes over each subgroup and demonstrate the gains of our framework in comparison to baselines. Finally, we introduce a cost metric to approximate downstream clinical impact. We use this cost metric to compare the proposed method against a baseline system, thereby making a stronger case for the overall system effectiveness in a real-world deployment scenario.

Abhijit Guha Roy, Jie Ren, Shekoofeh Azizi, Aaron Loh, Vivek Natarajan, Basil Mustafa, Nick Pawlowski, Jan Freyberg, Yuan Liu, Zach Beaver, Nam Vo, Peggy Bui, et al.
arXiv:2104.03829 · cs.CV, cs.LG · submitted Apr 8, 2021
abstract · pdf · html · Under Review, 19 Pages

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