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Machine Learning for Infectious Disease Risk Prediction: A Survey (arxiv.org)
1 point by Anon84 on Aug 10, 2023 | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A survey of how machine learning can forecast infectious disease outbreaks, sorting approaches into three groups: classic statistical models, pure data-driven models, and models built around how diseases actually spread. It maps each group's parts and flags the main hurdles in inputs, goals, and fair testing.

Abstract

Infectious diseases, either emerging or long-lasting, place numerous people at risk and bring heavy public health burdens worldwide. In the process against infectious diseases, predicting the epidemic risk by modeling the disease transmission plays an essential role in assisting with preventing and controlling disease transmission in a more effective way. In this paper, we systematically describe how machine learning can play an essential role in quantitatively characterizing disease transmission patterns and accurately predicting infectious disease risks. First, we introduce the background and motivation of using machine learning for infectious disease risk prediction. Next, we describe the development and components of various machine learning models for infectious disease risk prediction. Specifically, existing models fall into three categories: Statistical prediction, data-driven machine learning, and epidemiology-inspired machine learning. Subsequently, we discuss challenges encountered when dealing with model inputs, designing task-oriented objectives, and conducting performance evaluation. Finally, we conclude with a discussion of open questions and future directions.

Mutong Liu, Yang Liu, Jiming Liu
arXiv:2308.03037 · cs.LG · submitted Aug 6, 2023
abstract · pdf · html · 45 pages, 2 figures, 2 tables

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