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TSPP: A Unified Benchmarking Tool for Time-Series Forecasting (arxiv.org)
3 points by wspeirs on Jan 14, 2024 | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A single toolkit standardizes every step of time-series forecasting, so different models and datasets can be plugged in and compared fairly. With it, carefully built deep learning models matched gradient-boosted tree models that need heavy hand-crafted features and expert tuning.

Abstract · TSPP: A Unified Benchmarking Tool for Time-series Forecasting

While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings necessitates standardization throughout the entire pipeline. This need is particularly acute in time series forecasting, where diverse settings impede meaningful comparisons between various methods. To bridge this gap, we propose a unified benchmarking framework that exposes the crucial modelling and machine learning decisions involved in developing time series forecasting models. This framework fosters seamless integration of models and datasets, aiding both practitioners and researchers in their development efforts. We benchmark recently proposed models within this framework, demonstrating that carefully implemented deep learning models with minimal effort can rival gradient-boosting decision trees requiring extensive feature engineering and expert knowledge.

Jan Bączek, Dmytro Zhylko, Gilberto Titericz, Sajad Darabi, Jean-Francois Puget, Izzy Putterman, Dawid Majchrowski, Anmol Gupta, Kyle Kranen, Pawel Morkisz
arXiv:2312.17100 · cs.LG · submitted Dec 28, 2023 · updated Jan 8, 2024
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