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Training a time series model using transformers at Datadog (arxiv.org)
27 points by dbenamy on Jul 11, 2024 | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A forecasting model trained mostly on real monitoring metrics from Datadog, so it can predict how software systems behave over time. It beat other general forecasting models on observability data and set the best zero-shot results on open benchmarks.

Abstract · Toto: Time Series Optimized Transformer for Observability

This technical report describes the Time Series Optimized Transformer for Observability (Toto), a new state of the art foundation model for time series forecasting developed by Datadog. In addition to advancing the state of the art on generalized time series benchmarks in domains such as electricity and weather, this model is the first general-purpose time series forecasting foundation model to be specifically tuned for observability metrics. Toto was trained on a dataset of one trillion time series data points, the largest among all currently published time series foundation models. Alongside publicly available time series datasets, 75% of the data used to train Toto consists of fully anonymous numerical metric data points from the Datadog platform. In our experiments, Toto outperforms existing time series foundation models on observability data. It does this while also excelling at general-purpose forecasting tasks, achieving state-of-the-art zero-shot performance on multiple open benchmark datasets.

Ben Cohen, Emaad Khwaja, Kan Wang, Charles Masson, Elise Ramé, Youssef Doubli, Othmane Abou-Amal
arXiv:2407.07874 · cs.LG, cs.AI · submitted Jul 10, 2024 · updated Jul 11, 2024
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