In plain words: A review of studies comparing AI chatbots with real people finds that simulated research subjects can work if five fixable problems are solved, such as giving richer context and training on social science data. The paper says they are already useful for early pilot studies.
Abstract
Accurate and verifiable large language model (LLM) simulations of human research subjects promise an accessible data source for understanding human behavior and training new AI systems. However, results to date have been limited, and few social scientists have adopted this method. In this position paper, we argue that the promise of LLM social simulations can be achieved by addressing five tractable challenges. We ground our argument in a review of empirical comparisons between LLMs and human research subjects, commentaries on the topic, and related work. We identify promising directions, including context-rich prompting and fine-tuning with social science datasets. We believe that LLM social simulations can already be used for pilot and exploratory studies, and more widespread use may soon be possible with rapidly advancing LLM capabilities. Researchers should prioritize developing conceptual models and iterative evaluations to make the best use of new AI systems.
Jacy Reese Anthis, Ryan Liu, Sean M. Richardson, Austin C. Kozlowski, Bernard Koch, James Evans, Erik Brynjolfsson, Michael Bernstein
arXiv:2504.02234 · cs.HC, cs.AI, cs.CL, cs.CY · submitted Apr 3, 2025 · updated Jun 5, 2025
abstract · pdf · html · Published at ICML 2025