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A Framework for Confident Model Migration in Production Systems (arxiv.org)
1 point by PaulHoule 120 days ago | hide | past | pdf | discuss on HN

In plain words: A statistical tool tunes automatic answer scores to match a small set of human ratings, so teams can trust comparisons between old and new AI models without manual reviews. On a question-answering service with 5.3M monthly interactions across six regions, it reliably picked suitable replacements.

Abstract · When Your LLM Reaches End-of-Life: A Framework for Confident Model Migration in Production Systems

We present a framework for migrating production Large Language Model (LLM) based systems when the underlying model reaches end-of-life or requires replacement. The key contribution is a Bayesian statistical approach that calibrates automated evaluation metrics against human judgments, enabling confident model comparison even with limited manual evaluation data. We demonstrate this framework on a commercial question-answering system serving 5.3M monthly interactions across six global regions; evaluating correctness, refusal behavior, and stylistic adherence to successfully identify suitable replacement models. The framework is broadly applicable to any enterprise deploying LLM-based products, providing a principled, reproducible methodology for model migration that balances quality assurance with evaluation efficiency. This is a capability increasingly essential as the LLM ecosystem continues to evolve rapidly and organizations manage portfolios of AI-powered services across multiple models, regions, and use cases.

Emma Casey, David Roberts, David Sim, Ian Beaver
arXiv:2604.27082 · cs.AI, cs.LG, cs.SE · submitted Apr 29, 2026
abstract · pdf · html · 12 pages with appendix

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