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LLMs Can Infer Political Alignment from Online Conversations (arxiv.org)
1 point by Anon84 63 days ago | hide | past | pdf | 1 comment on HN

In plain words: Large language models read ordinary online chat — band tastes, slang — and guess a user's hidden political leaning from clues that never mention politics. They beat traditional machine-learning models at this, and get more accurate when many posts are combined.

Abstract

Due to the correlational structure in our traits such as identities, cultures, and political attitudes, seemingly innocuous preferences like following a band or using a specific slang can reveal private traits. This possibility, especially when combined with massive, public social data and advanced computational methods, poses a fundamental privacy risk. As our data exposure online and the rapid advancement of AI are increasing the risk of misuse, it is critical to understand the capacity of large language models (LLMs) to exploit such potential. Here, using online discussions on DebateOrg and Reddit, we show that LLMs can reliably infer hidden political alignment, significantly outperforming traditional machine learning models. Prediction accuracy further improves as we aggregate multiple text-level inferences into a user-level prediction, and as we use more politics-adjacent domains. We demonstrate that LLMs leverage words that are highly predictive of political alignment while not being explicitly political. Our findings underscore the capacity and risks of LLMs for exploiting socio-cultural correlates.

Byunghwee Lee, Sangyeon Kim, Filippo Menczer, Yong-Yeol Ahn, Haewoon Kwak, Jisun An
arXiv:2603.11253 · cs.SI, cs.CL, cs.CY · submitted Mar 11, 2026 · updated Mar 13, 2026
abstract · pdf · html · 56 pages; 4 figures in the main text and 18 supplementary figures, 11 supplementary tables

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